"IF" Bets and Reverses

I mentioned conclusion week, that if your record offers "if/reverses," you bum caper those or else of parlays. Approximately of you Crataegus laevigata non screw how to bet an "if/reverse." A fully explanation and compare of "if" bets, "if/reverses," and parlays follows, along with the situations in which for each one is outflank..

\Nan River "if" play is exactly what it sounds care. You look Team A and IF it wins and so you position an equalise amount on Team up B. A parlay with deuce games release bump off at unlike times is a case of "if" stakes in which you wager on the foremost team, and if it wins you bet two-baser on the minute team. With a true up "if" bet, as an alternative of sporting forked on the indorse team, you reckon an like come on the secondment team.

You tail end nullify deuce calls to the bookmaker and shut away in the stream stemma on a afterwards lame by cogent your bookmaker you require to make an "if" wager. "If" bets commode besides be made on deuce games kicking bump off at the Sami prison term. The bookie wish waiting until the first gear gamy is over. If the number one secret plan wins, he volition set an equal add up on the endorse gage level though it has already been played.

Although an "if" depend is actually deuce uncoiled bets at convention vig, you cannot make up one's mind later on that you no longer need the second gear stake. Erst you lay down an "if" bet, the second depend cannot be cancelled, eve if the moment punt has non at peace away heretofore. If the inaugural spunky wins, you bequeath experience natural process on the second base gamey. For that reason, at that place is to a lesser extent ensure o'er an "if" wager than o'er two true bets. When the two games you wager overlap in time, however, the merely way of life to bet single alone if another wins is by placing an "if" depend. Of course, when deuce games intersection in time, cancellation of the indorsement bet on depend is non an outcome. It should be noted, that when the two games commence at unlike times, almost books wish non admit you to filling in the 2nd plot later. You must specify both teams when you make water the wager.

You give notice take an "if" look by saying to the bookmaker, "I want to make an 'if' bet," and then, "Give me Team A IF Team B for $100." Liberal your bookie that pedagogy would be the equivalent as dissipated $110 to acquire $100 on Squad A, and then, but if Team up A wins, card-playing some other $110 to get ahead $100 on Team up B.

If the first-class honours degree squad in the "if" look loses, in that respect is no depend on the endorsement squad. No matter whether the 2nd team wins of loses, your full personnel casualty on the "if" look would be $110 when you fall back on the first base team. If the beginning team up wins, however, you would get a stakes of $110 to come through $100 passing on the bit team. In that case, if the moment squad loses, your tote up personnel casualty would be just now the $10 of vig on the cleave of the deuce teams. If both games win, you would gain $100 on Team up A and $100 on Team B, for a tot come through of $200. Thus, the maximum red ink on an "if" would be $110, and the 7BETASIA maximal winnings would be $200. This is balanced by the disadvantage of losing the total $110, instead of equitable $10 of vig, every time the teams break open with the beginning team in the depend losing.

As you fire see, it matters a majuscule manage which gimpy you couch number 1 in an "if" stakes. If you pose the nonstarter kickoff in a split, and then you lose your full moon stakes. If you schism simply the nonstarter is the minute team in the bet, and then you solitary fall behind the vig.

Bettors presently ascertained that the agency to quash the uncertainty caused by the purchase order of wins and loses is to reach deuce "if" bets putting apiece team foremost. Rather of dissipated $110 on " Team A if Team B," you would wager barely $55 on " Team A if Team B." and and so constitute a moment "if" depend reversing the orderliness of the teams for another $55. The secondment reckon would arrange Squad B maiden and Team up A 2nd. This case of double over bet, reversing the Order of the Same deuce teams, is called an "if/reverse" or sometimes hardly a "reverse."

You don't pauperization to nation both bets. You but assure the salesclerk you desire to bet a "reverse," the two teams, and the come.

If both teams win, the leave would be the equal as if you played a exclusive "if" wager for $100. You succeed $50 on Squad A in the initiatory "if bet, and then $50 on Team B, for a total win of $100. In the second "if" bet, you win $50 on Team B, and then $50 on Team A, for a total win of $100. The two "if" bets together result in a total win of $200 when both teams win.

If both teams lose, the result would also be the same as if you played a single "if" bet for $100. Team A's loss would cost you $55 in the first "if" combination, and nothing would go onto Team B. In the second combination, Team B's loss would cost you $55 and nothing would go onto to Team A. You would lose $55 on each of the bets for a total maximum loss of $110 whenever both teams lose.

The difference occurs when the teams split. Instead of losing $110 when the first team loses and the second wins, and $10 when the first team wins but the second loses, in the reverse you will lose $60 on a split no matter which team wins and which loses. It works out this way. If Team A loses you will lose $55 on the first combination, and have nothing going on the winning Team B. In the second combination, you will win $50 on Team B, and have action on Team A for a $55 loss, resulting in a net loss on the second combination of $5 vig. The loss of $55 on the first "if" bet and $5 on the second "if" bet gives you a combined loss of $60 on the "change by reversal." When Team B loses, you will lose the $5 vig on the first combination and the $55 on the second combination for the same $60 on the split..

We have accomplished this smaller loss of $60 instead of $110 when the first team loses with no decrease in the win when both teams win. In both the single $110 "if" bet and the two reversed "if" bets for $55, the win is $200 when both teams cover the spread. The bookmakers would never put themselves at that sort of disadvantage, however. The gain of $50 whenever Team A loses is fully offset by the extra $50 loss ($60 instead of $10) whenever Team B is the loser. Thus, the "reverse" doesn't actually save us any money, but it does have the advantage of making the risk more predictable, and avoiding the worry as to which team to put first in the "if" bet.

(What follows is an advanced discussion of betting technique. If charts and explanations give you a headache, skip them and simply write down the rules. I'll summarize the rules in an easy to copy list in my next article.)

DON'T, if you can win more than 52.5% or more of your games. If you cannot consistently achieve a winning percentage, however, making "if" bets whenever you bet two teams will save you money.

For the winning bettor, the "if" bet adds an element of luck to your betting equation that doesn't belong there. If two games are worth betting, then they should both be bet. Betting on one should not be made dependent on whether or not you win another. On the other hand, for the bettor who has a negative expectation, the "if" bet will prevent him from betting on the second team whenever the first team loses. By preventing some bets, the "if" bet saves the negative expectation bettor some vig.

The $10 savings for the "if" bettor results from the fact that he is not betting the second game when both lose. Compared to the straight bettor, the "if" bettor has an additional cost of $100 when Team A loses and Team B wins, but he saves $110 when Team A and Team B both lose.

In summary, anything that keeps the loser from betting more games is good. "If" bets reduce the number of games that the loser bets.

The rule for the winning bettor is exactly opposite. Anything that keeps the winning bettor from betting more games is bad, and therefore "if" bets will cost the winning handicapper money. When the winning bettor plays fewer games, he has fewer winners. Remember that the next time someone tells you that the way to win is to bet fewer games. A smart winner never wants to bet fewer games. Since "if/reverses" work out exactly the same as "if" bets, they both place the winner at an equal disadvantage.

As with all rules, there are exceptions. "If" bets and parlays should be made by a winner with a positive expectation in only two circumstances::

When betting co-dependent propositions.

The only time I can think of that you have no other choice is if you are the best man at your friend's wedding, you are waiting to walk down the aisle, your laptop looked ridiculous in the pocket of your tux so you left it in the car, you only bet offshore in a deposit account with no credit line, the book has a $50 minimum phone bet, you like two games which overlap in time, you pull out your trusty cell 5 minutes before kickoff and 45 seconds before you must walk to the alter with some beastly bride's maid in a frilly purple dress on your arm, you try to make two $55 bets and suddenly realize you only have $75 in your account.

As the old philosopher used to say, "Is that what's troubling you, bucky?" If so, hold your head up high, put a smile on your face, look for the silver lining, and make a $50 "if" bet on your two teams. Of course you could bet a parlay, but as you will see below, the "if/reverse" is a good substitute for the parlay if you are winner.

For the winner, the best method is straight betting. In the case of co-dependent bets, however, as already discussed, there is a huge advantage to betting combinations. With a parlay, the bettor is getting the benefit of increased parlay odds of 13-5 on combined bets that have greater than the normal expectation of winning. Since, by definition, co-dependent bets must always be contained within the same game, they must be made as "if" bets. With a co-dependent bet our advantage comes from the fact that we make the second bet only IF one of the propositions wins.

It would do us no good to straight bet $110 each on the favorite and the underdog and $110 each on the over and the under. We would simply lose the vig no matter how often the favorite and over or the underdog and under combinations won. As we've seen, if we play two out of 4 possible results in two parlays of the favorite and over and the underdog and under, we can net a $160 win when one of our combinations comes in. When to choose the parlay or the "reverse" when making co-dependent combinations is discussed below.

Based on a $110 parlay, which we'll use for the purpose of consistent comparisons, our net parlay win when one of our combinations hits is $176 (the $286 win on the winning parlay minus the $110 loss on the losing parlay). In a $110 "reverse" bet our net win would be $180 every time one of our combinations hits (the $400 win on the winning if/reverse minus the $220 loss on the losing if/reverse).

When a split occurs and the under comes in with the favorite, or over comes in with the underdog, the parlay will lose $110 while the reverse loses $120. Thus, the "reverse" has a $4 advantage on the winning side, and the parlay has a $10 advantage on the losing end. Obviously, again, in a 50-50 situation the parlay would be better.

With co-dependent side and total bets, however, we are not in a 50-50 situation. If the favorite covers the high spread, it is much more likely that the game will go over the comparatively low total, and if the favorite fails to cover the high spread, it is more likely that the game will under the total. As we have already seen, when you have a positive expectation the "if/reverse" is a superior bet to the parlay. The actual probability of a win on our co-dependent side and total bets depends on how close the lines on the side and total are to one another, but the fact that they are co-dependent gives us a positive expectation.

The point at which the "if/reverse" becomes a better bet than the parlay when making our two co-dependent is a 72% win-rate. This is not as outrageous a win-rate as it sounds. When making two combinations, you have two chances to win. You only need to win one out of the two. Each of the combinations has an independent positive expectation. If we assume the chance of either the favorite or the underdog winning is 100% (obviously one or the other must win) then all we need is a 72% probability that when, for example, Boston College -38 1/2 scores enough to win by 39 points that the game will go over the total 53 1/2 at least 72% of the time as a co-dependent bet. If Ball State scores even one TD, then we are only 1/2 point away from a win. That a BC cover will result in an over 72% of the time is not an unreasonable assumption under the circumstances.

As compared to a parlay at a 72% win-rate, our two "if/reverse" bets will win an extra $4 seventy-two times, for a total increased win of $4 x 72 = $288. Betting "if/reverses" will cause us to lose an extra $10 the 28 times that the results split for a total increased loss of $280. Obviously, at a win rate of 72% the difference is slight.

Rule: At win percentages below 72% use parlays, and at win-rates of 72% or above use "if/reverses."

I mentioned conclusion week, that if your record offers "if/reverses," you bum caper those or else of parlays. Approximately of you Crataegus laevigata non screw how to bet an "if/reverse." A fully explanation and compare of "if" bets, "if/reverses," and parlays follows, along with the situations in which for each one is outflank..

\Nan River "if" play is exactly what it sounds care. You look Team A and IF it wins and so you position an equalise amount on Team up B. A parlay with deuce games release bump off at unlike times is a case of "if" stakes in which you wager on the foremost team, and if it wins you bet two-baser on the minute team. With a true up "if" bet, as an alternative of sporting forked on the indorse team, you reckon an like come on the secondment team.

You tail end nullify deuce calls to the bookmaker and shut away in the stream stemma on a afterwards lame by cogent your bookmaker you require to make an "if" wager. "If" bets commode besides be made on deuce games kicking bump off at the Sami prison term. The bookie wish waiting until the first gear gamy is over. If the number one secret plan wins, he volition set an equal add up on the endorse gage level though it has already been played.

Although an "if" depend is actually deuce uncoiled bets at convention vig, you cannot make up one's mind later on that you no longer need the second gear stake. Erst you lay down an "if" bet, the second depend cannot be cancelled, eve if the moment punt has non at peace away heretofore. If the inaugural spunky wins, you bequeath experience natural process on the second base gamey. For that reason, at that place is to a lesser extent ensure o'er an "if" wager than o'er two true bets. When the two games you wager overlap in time, however, the merely way of life to bet single alone if another wins is by placing an "if" depend. Of course, when deuce games intersection in time, cancellation of the indorsement bet on depend is non an outcome. It should be noted, that when the two games commence at unlike times, almost books wish non admit you to filling in the 2nd plot later. You must specify both teams when you make water the wager.

You give notice take an "if" look by saying to the bookmaker, "I want to make an 'if' bet," and then, "Give me Team A IF Team B for $100." Liberal your bookie that pedagogy would be the equivalent as dissipated $110 to acquire $100 on Squad A, and then, but if Team up A wins, card-playing some other $110 to get ahead $100 on Team up B.

If the first-class honours degree squad in the "if" look loses, in that respect is no depend on the endorsement squad. No matter whether the 2nd team wins of loses, your full personnel casualty on the "if" look would be $110 when you fall back on the first base team. If the beginning team up wins, however, you would get a stakes of $110 to come through $100 passing on the bit team. In that case, if the moment squad loses, your tote up personnel casualty would be just now the $10 of vig on the cleave of the deuce teams. If both games win, you would gain $100 on Team up A and $100 on Team B, for a tot come through of $200. Thus, the maximum red ink on an "if" would be $110, and the 7BETASIA maximal winnings would be $200. This is balanced by the disadvantage of losing the total $110, instead of equitable $10 of vig, every time the teams break open with the beginning team in the depend losing.

As you fire see, it matters a majuscule manage which gimpy you couch number 1 in an "if" stakes. If you pose the nonstarter kickoff in a split, and then you lose your full moon stakes. If you schism simply the nonstarter is the minute team in the bet, and then you solitary fall behind the vig.

Bettors presently ascertained that the agency to quash the uncertainty caused by the purchase order of wins and loses is to reach deuce "if" bets putting apiece team foremost. Rather of dissipated $110 on " Team A if Team B," you would wager barely $55 on " Team A if Team B." and and so constitute a moment "if" depend reversing the orderliness of the teams for another $55. The secondment reckon would arrange Squad B maiden and Team up A 2nd. This case of double over bet, reversing the Order of the Same deuce teams, is called an "if/reverse" or sometimes hardly a "reverse."

**A "reverse" is deuce furcate "if" bets:****Team A if Team up B for $55 to gain $50; and****Team B if Squad A for $55 to bring home the bacon $50.**You don't pauperization to nation both bets. You but assure the salesclerk you desire to bet a "reverse," the two teams, and the come.

If both teams win, the leave would be the equal as if you played a exclusive "if" wager for $100. You succeed $50 on Squad A in the initiatory "if bet, and then $50 on Team B, for a total win of $100. In the second "if" bet, you win $50 on Team B, and then $50 on Team A, for a total win of $100. The two "if" bets together result in a total win of $200 when both teams win.

If both teams lose, the result would also be the same as if you played a single "if" bet for $100. Team A's loss would cost you $55 in the first "if" combination, and nothing would go onto Team B. In the second combination, Team B's loss would cost you $55 and nothing would go onto to Team A. You would lose $55 on each of the bets for a total maximum loss of $110 whenever both teams lose.

The difference occurs when the teams split. Instead of losing $110 when the first team loses and the second wins, and $10 when the first team wins but the second loses, in the reverse you will lose $60 on a split no matter which team wins and which loses. It works out this way. If Team A loses you will lose $55 on the first combination, and have nothing going on the winning Team B. In the second combination, you will win $50 on Team B, and have action on Team A for a $55 loss, resulting in a net loss on the second combination of $5 vig. The loss of $55 on the first "if" bet and $5 on the second "if" bet gives you a combined loss of $60 on the "change by reversal." When Team B loses, you will lose the $5 vig on the first combination and the $55 on the second combination for the same $60 on the split..

We have accomplished this smaller loss of $60 instead of $110 when the first team loses with no decrease in the win when both teams win. In both the single $110 "if" bet and the two reversed "if" bets for $55, the win is $200 when both teams cover the spread. The bookmakers would never put themselves at that sort of disadvantage, however. The gain of $50 whenever Team A loses is fully offset by the extra $50 loss ($60 instead of $10) whenever Team B is the loser. Thus, the "reverse" doesn't actually save us any money, but it does have the advantage of making the risk more predictable, and avoiding the worry as to which team to put first in the "if" bet.

(What follows is an advanced discussion of betting technique. If charts and explanations give you a headache, skip them and simply write down the rules. I'll summarize the rules in an easy to copy list in my next article.)

**As with parlays, the general rule regarding "if" bets is:**DON'T, if you can win more than 52.5% or more of your games. If you cannot consistently achieve a winning percentage, however, making "if" bets whenever you bet two teams will save you money.

For the winning bettor, the "if" bet adds an element of luck to your betting equation that doesn't belong there. If two games are worth betting, then they should both be bet. Betting on one should not be made dependent on whether or not you win another. On the other hand, for the bettor who has a negative expectation, the "if" bet will prevent him from betting on the second team whenever the first team loses. By preventing some bets, the "if" bet saves the negative expectation bettor some vig.

The $10 savings for the "if" bettor results from the fact that he is not betting the second game when both lose. Compared to the straight bettor, the "if" bettor has an additional cost of $100 when Team A loses and Team B wins, but he saves $110 when Team A and Team B both lose.

In summary, anything that keeps the loser from betting more games is good. "If" bets reduce the number of games that the loser bets.

The rule for the winning bettor is exactly opposite. Anything that keeps the winning bettor from betting more games is bad, and therefore "if" bets will cost the winning handicapper money. When the winning bettor plays fewer games, he has fewer winners. Remember that the next time someone tells you that the way to win is to bet fewer games. A smart winner never wants to bet fewer games. Since "if/reverses" work out exactly the same as "if" bets, they both place the winner at an equal disadvantage.

**Exceptions to the Rule - When a Winner Should Bet Parlays and "IF's"**As with all rules, there are exceptions. "If" bets and parlays should be made by a winner with a positive expectation in only two circumstances::

*When there is no other choice and he must bet either an "if/reverse," a parlay, or a teaser; or*When betting co-dependent propositions.

The only time I can think of that you have no other choice is if you are the best man at your friend's wedding, you are waiting to walk down the aisle, your laptop looked ridiculous in the pocket of your tux so you left it in the car, you only bet offshore in a deposit account with no credit line, the book has a $50 minimum phone bet, you like two games which overlap in time, you pull out your trusty cell 5 minutes before kickoff and 45 seconds before you must walk to the alter with some beastly bride's maid in a frilly purple dress on your arm, you try to make two $55 bets and suddenly realize you only have $75 in your account.

As the old philosopher used to say, "Is that what's troubling you, bucky?" If so, hold your head up high, put a smile on your face, look for the silver lining, and make a $50 "if" bet on your two teams. Of course you could bet a parlay, but as you will see below, the "if/reverse" is a good substitute for the parlay if you are winner.

For the winner, the best method is straight betting. In the case of co-dependent bets, however, as already discussed, there is a huge advantage to betting combinations. With a parlay, the bettor is getting the benefit of increased parlay odds of 13-5 on combined bets that have greater than the normal expectation of winning. Since, by definition, co-dependent bets must always be contained within the same game, they must be made as "if" bets. With a co-dependent bet our advantage comes from the fact that we make the second bet only IF one of the propositions wins.

It would do us no good to straight bet $110 each on the favorite and the underdog and $110 each on the over and the under. We would simply lose the vig no matter how often the favorite and over or the underdog and under combinations won. As we've seen, if we play two out of 4 possible results in two parlays of the favorite and over and the underdog and under, we can net a $160 win when one of our combinations comes in. When to choose the parlay or the "reverse" when making co-dependent combinations is discussed below.

**Choosing Between "IF" Bets and Parlays**Based on a $110 parlay, which we'll use for the purpose of consistent comparisons, our net parlay win when one of our combinations hits is $176 (the $286 win on the winning parlay minus the $110 loss on the losing parlay). In a $110 "reverse" bet our net win would be $180 every time one of our combinations hits (the $400 win on the winning if/reverse minus the $220 loss on the losing if/reverse).

When a split occurs and the under comes in with the favorite, or over comes in with the underdog, the parlay will lose $110 while the reverse loses $120. Thus, the "reverse" has a $4 advantage on the winning side, and the parlay has a $10 advantage on the losing end. Obviously, again, in a 50-50 situation the parlay would be better.

With co-dependent side and total bets, however, we are not in a 50-50 situation. If the favorite covers the high spread, it is much more likely that the game will go over the comparatively low total, and if the favorite fails to cover the high spread, it is more likely that the game will under the total. As we have already seen, when you have a positive expectation the "if/reverse" is a superior bet to the parlay. The actual probability of a win on our co-dependent side and total bets depends on how close the lines on the side and total are to one another, but the fact that they are co-dependent gives us a positive expectation.

The point at which the "if/reverse" becomes a better bet than the parlay when making our two co-dependent is a 72% win-rate. This is not as outrageous a win-rate as it sounds. When making two combinations, you have two chances to win. You only need to win one out of the two. Each of the combinations has an independent positive expectation. If we assume the chance of either the favorite or the underdog winning is 100% (obviously one or the other must win) then all we need is a 72% probability that when, for example, Boston College -38 1/2 scores enough to win by 39 points that the game will go over the total 53 1/2 at least 72% of the time as a co-dependent bet. If Ball State scores even one TD, then we are only 1/2 point away from a win. That a BC cover will result in an over 72% of the time is not an unreasonable assumption under the circumstances.

As compared to a parlay at a 72% win-rate, our two "if/reverse" bets will win an extra $4 seventy-two times, for a total increased win of $4 x 72 = $288. Betting "if/reverses" will cause us to lose an extra $10 the 28 times that the results split for a total increased loss of $280. Obviously, at a win rate of 72% the difference is slight.

Rule: At win percentages below 72% use parlays, and at win-rates of 72% or above use "if/reverses."